BE PREPARED!
Всегда prepared!
Только USAF/NOAA не такие оптимисты, из их сегодняшнего трехдневного прогноза:
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled on day one (16 February). Day two (17 February) is expected to be quiet to active with a chance for minor storming late in the period. Day three (18 February) is expected to be unsettled to active with a chance for minor storming. The increase in activity is forecast due to expected arrival of the CME from the X2 event described in part IA.
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 16 Feb-18 Feb
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/25/35
Minor storm 01/15/20
Major-severe storm 01/01/05
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/45/45
Minor storm 05/25/25
Major-severe storm 00/05/05
Т.е. шанс слабой бури на средних широтах - 15-20%, сильной бури 0-5%.
Посмотрим.
73, Иван
